Eibar 0-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 Jun 2024

Eibar
0-2 HT 0-0
Real Oviedo
📅12/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Eibar vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.56
Over 2.5
53%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
5.07
6+ Goals
11%
30.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 5.07 — our 25% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
17%
4.1
X/2
7%
7.56
X/X
11%
3.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
30.5
2/2
14%
6.47
2/X
8%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 10% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
60%
-13.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
40%
+13.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eibar v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.41/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.21
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.8 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Eibar vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
384 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.06.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
02.06.2024 Eibar Eibar 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
19.11.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
01.04.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
11.12.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
23.07.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar HAZ

Eibar 0-2 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
0-2
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.59 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
422 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo saw off Eibar 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eibar had 56% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 44%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.59 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eibar and 1.00 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Real Oviedo?

Eibar 0-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eibar 44%, draw 27%, Real Oviedo 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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