Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
10%
7.73
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
8%
6.17
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.44/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.56
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.2 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fluminense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.14 xG 1.31
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
220 Passes 527
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-2 HT 0-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
21.05.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
30.01.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
23.10.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
26.06.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
27.03.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 1-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
1-0
AWAY Fluminense
1.75 xG 0.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 2
241 Passes 341
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Botafogo vs Fluminense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Botafogo edged past Fluminense 1-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 12 Jun 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Botafogo had 44% of the ball to Fluminense's 56%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.75 to 0.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 0.67 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Fluminense?

Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 48%, draw 27%, Fluminense 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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