Bragantino 1-2 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
12%
3.82
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
10%
4.88
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.18/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.15
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.3 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
288 Passes 466
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Bragantino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
11.06.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
07.09.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
12.05.2022 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
05.12.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 4-3 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
30.08.2021 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-2
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.18 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
340 Passes 248
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro edged past Bragantino 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 55% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.18 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bragantino and 1.67 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro?

Bragantino 1-2 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 41%, draw 28%, Atletico Mineiro 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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