Baroka 1-1 University Of Pretoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.63
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.36
Over 2.5
25%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.4
No
69%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
13%
7.55
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
40%
+8.7pp
27%
Draw
34%
-7.1pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.7pp
75%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.6pp
25%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
-6.3pp
69%
BTTS No
62%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.01/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.08
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
2W-1D-1L
AWAY University Of Pretoria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.47
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
367 Passes 137
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
27 Box Touches 32
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAFPSL
10.12.2023 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 0-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
25.02.2023 Baroka Baroka 2-1 HT 1-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
14.01.2023 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-3 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
1-1
AWAY University Of Pretoria
0.61 xG 1.37
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 Passes 111
78% Pass Accuracy 53%
31 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Baroka vs University Of Pretoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka and University Of Pretoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

On the day, Baroka had 71% of the ball to University Of Pretoria's 29%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.61 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Baroka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baroka and 1.00 for University Of Pretoria.

What was the final score of Baroka vs University Of Pretoria?

Baroka 1-1 University Of Pretoria in the South Afrika - Premier League on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs University Of Pretoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Baroka 49%, draw 27%, University Of Pretoria 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baroka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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