Fagiano Okayama 1-7 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
7%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/0.86
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +110%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.04.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
05.09.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
11.04.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
30.09.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
15.07.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
13.09.2015 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1-7
AWAY Ehime FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC cruised past Fagiano Okayama 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fagiano Okayama at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 54% of the ball to Ehime FC's 46%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.00 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Ehime FC?

Fagiano Okayama 1-7 Ehime FC in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 50%, draw 25%, Ehime FC 26%. The final score 1-7 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✗ Under 2.5
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