Ehime FC 2-2 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.05/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.69
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
11.04.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
30.09.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
15.07.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
13.09.2015 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
21.06.2015 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-2 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
2-2
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC and Fagiano Okayama couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fagiano Okayama at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ehime FC had 32% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 68%, shots finished 9-25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ehime FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ehime FC and 0.83 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Fagiano Okayama?

Ehime FC 2-2 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 29%, draw 29%, Fagiano Okayama 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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