Oita Trinita 1-0 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
395 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kagoshima United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.03.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-0 HT 3-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita edged past Kagoshima United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oita Trinita as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Oita Trinita 1-0 Kagoshima United in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 43%, draw 25%, Kagoshima United 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oita Trinita), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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