Oita Trinita 3-0 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Mar 2024

Oita Trinita
3-0 HT 3-0
Kagoshima United
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oita Trinita v Kagoshima United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.34/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.92
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Oita Trinita 3-0 Kagoshima United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
3-0
AWAY Kagoshima United
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita ran out comfortable winners over Kagoshima United 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oita Trinita as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 45% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 55%, shots finished 9-17.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Oita Trinita 3-0 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 45%, draw 25%, Kagoshima United 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oita Trinita), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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