Ventforet Kofu 1-1 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.31/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.88
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Iwaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-1 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
03.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-1
AWAY Iwaki
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu and Iwaki shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 57% of the ball to Iwaki's 43%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 0.50 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Iwaki?

Ventforet Kofu 1-1 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 35%, draw 26%, Iwaki 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Iwaki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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