JEF United 1-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+8.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.46
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
17.05.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
25.07.2009 JEF United JEF United 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.06.2009 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JLK
05.05.2009 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP
24.11.2007 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 2-1 JEF United JEF United JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-3
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse saw off JEF United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, JEF United had 48% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 52%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JEF United and 1.67 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

JEF United 1-3 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JEF United 43%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-Pulse 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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