Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 25%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+6% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
06.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
21.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
18.06.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
26.03.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.06.2017 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JPK
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Roasso Kumamoto at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 0.83 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 44%, draw 28%, Mito HollyHock 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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