Mito HollyHock 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2024

Mito HollyHock
2-0 HT 0-0
Roasso Kumamoto
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.72
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.72 — our 23% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mito HollyHock v Roasso Kumamoto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +1%
1.36/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.18
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2

Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
21.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
18.06.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
26.03.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.06.2017 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JPK
08.11.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2

Mito HollyHock 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-0
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
37% Ball Possession 63%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock beat Roasso Kumamoto 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mito HollyHock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 37% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 63%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.83 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Mito HollyHock 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 38%, draw 30%, Roasso Kumamoto 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ BTTS Yes
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