Kagoshima United 0-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
0.77/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.56
-37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai nicked a narrow win over Kagoshima United 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 53% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 47%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Vegalta Sendai?

Kagoshima United 0-1 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 31%, draw 29%, Vegalta Sendai 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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