Oita Trinita 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.02/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.07
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 640 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
3W-2D-1L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
21.05.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
01.10.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-1 HT 3-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
12.03.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 HT 2-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
18.07.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
26.04.2015 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
0-0
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita and V-Varen Nagasaki played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 47% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 53%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.50 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Oita Trinita 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 33%, draw 25%, V-Varen Nagasaki 42%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ BTTS Yes
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