ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.74/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.71
-24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
29.03.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-3
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse ran out comfortable winners over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 40% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 60%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 24%, draw 26%, Shimizu S-Pulse 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
6 May 2024
08:00 Oita Trinita vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →
08:00 Tochigi SC vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
08:00 Kagoshima United vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →