Tochigi SC 0-1 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
11%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.15/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.98
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
398 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
03.06.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
0-1
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC edged past Tochigi SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Fujieda MYFC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 47% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 53%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.50 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Fujieda MYFC?

Tochigi SC 0-1 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 34%, draw 30%, Fujieda MYFC 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fujieda MYFC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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