Pathfinder 4-2 Black Rock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pathfinder EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Rock EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+69% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pathfinder vs Black Rock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pathfinder beat Black Rock 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pathfinder as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Pathfinder vs Black Rock?

Pathfinder 4-2 Black Rock in the USA - USL League 2 on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pathfinder vs Black Rock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pathfinder win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pathfinder 50%, draw 22%, Black Rock 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pathfinder), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pathfinder) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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