Tucson 1-3 Capo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 12 Jun 2024

Tucson
1-3 HT 0-2
Capo II
📅12/06/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Tucson vs Capo II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.98
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
38%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
76%
-5.1pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.8pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tucson v Capo II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tucson EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Capo II EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/5.99
+87% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -56%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Tucson vs Capo II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tucson
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Capo II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
29.06.2023 Capo II Capo II 0-2 HT 0-2 Tucson USL2
17.06.2023 Capo II Capo II 1-1 HT 1-0 Tucson USL2
POST-MATCH Tucson vs Capo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Capo II beat Tucson 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tucson at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tucson had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tucson and 0.50 for Capo II.

What was the final score of Tucson vs Capo II?

Tucson 1-3 Capo II in the USA - USL League 2 on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tucson vs Capo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tucson win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Tucson 71%, draw 18%, Capo II 11%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tucson) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tucson) ✓ Over 2.5
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