Louisville City vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Louisville City 2-1 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City edged past Rhode Island 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Louisville City had 43% of the ball to Rhode Island's 57%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.82 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rhode Island led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Louisville City and 2.67 for Rhode Island.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Rhode Island?
Louisville City 2-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Rhode Island?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 55%, draw 23%, Rhode Island 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.