Rhode Island 0-0 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 29% vs market 18.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.66/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.88
-18% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +125%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.0 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
0-0
AWAY Louisville City
0.64 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
326 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island and Louisville City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 52% of the ball to Louisville City's 48%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.64 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

Rhode Island 0-0 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 34%, draw 26%, Louisville City 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Louisville City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Louisville City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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