Charleston Battery 1-2 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.98/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.68
+35% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.6 Crosses 11.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
0W-0D-1L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.64 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
365 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-2 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
1-2
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
2.68 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
25 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive squeezed past Charleston Battery 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Charleston Battery at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 49% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 51%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.68 to 1.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs El Paso Locomotive?

Charleston Battery 1-2 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 56%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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