FC Tulsa 0-1 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
6+ Goals
13%
12.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.75/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.29
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.1 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.80 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
348 Passes 379
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 29
1 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 6
17.09.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
0-1
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.38 xG 0.53
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
369 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots squeezed past FC Tulsa 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Oakland Roots made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 57% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 43%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots?

FC Tulsa 0-1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 40%, draw 26%, Oakland Roots 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Tulsa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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