Dandenong City 2-4 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.4pp
33%
Away Win
46%
-13.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 50%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.05/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.71
-30% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +106%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 12.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Hume City
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
186 Passes 308
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Hume City Hume City 0-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
04.06.2022 Hume City Hume City 1-2 HT 0-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
04.03.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 2-1 HT 2-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
13.03.2021 Hume City Hume City 3-1 HT 1-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City beat Dandenong City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Hume City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dandenong City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Dandenong City and 1.25 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Hume City?

Dandenong City 2-4 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 33%, draw 33%, Hume City 33%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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