Atlantis 1-1 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 12 Jul 2024

Atlantis
1-1 HT 0-0
EPS
📅12/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.49
2-3 Goals
33%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.49 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlantis EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlantis
1W-1D-1L
AWAY EPS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 EPS EPS 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlantis Atlantis FİN2
29.09.2023 Atlantis Atlantis 0-1 HT 0-0 EPS EPS FİNKAK
21.06.2023 EPS EPS 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlantis Atlantis FİNKAK
POST-MATCH Atlantis vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlantis and EPS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atlantis at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atlantis and 0.67 for EPS.

What was the final score of Atlantis vs EPS?

Atlantis 1-1 EPS in the FİN3 on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlantis vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlantis win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atlantis 49%, draw 27%, EPS 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlantis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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