EPS 0-1 Atlantis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 4 May 2024

EPS
0-1 HT 0-1
Atlantis
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
38%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
19%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
38%
Away Win
50%
-11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlantis EU Bookmakers 54%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+69% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Atlantis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2023 Atlantis Atlantis 0-1 HT 0-0 EPS EPS FİNKAK
21.06.2023 EPS EPS 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlantis Atlantis FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EPS
0-1
AWAY Atlantis
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 10
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH EPS vs Atlantis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlantis edged past EPS 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Atlantis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, EPS had 62% of the ball to Atlantis's 38%, shots finished 21-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, EPS had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EPS and 0.50 for Atlantis.

What was the final score of EPS vs Atlantis?

EPS 0-1 Atlantis in the Finland - Ykkönen on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs Atlantis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlantis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split EPS 34%, draw 28%, Atlantis 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlantis), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlantis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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