VIFK Vaasa 2-2 JJK Jyvaskyla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.83/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.82/1.02
-30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VIFK Vaasa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.10.2022 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 3-3 HT 0-1 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
24.09.2022 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 1-0 HT 1-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİNKAK
10.07.2022 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 4-0 HT 1-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
07.08.2021 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 0-3 HT 0-3 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİNKAK
23.05.2021 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 4-0 HT 2-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
13.06.2020 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 2-4 HT 0-3 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİNKAK
POST-MATCH VIFK Vaasa vs JJK Jyvaskyla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VIFK Vaasa and JJK Jyvaskyla couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was JJK Jyvaskyla at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JJK Jyvaskyla led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VIFK Vaasa and 3.00 for JJK Jyvaskyla.

What was the final score of VIFK Vaasa vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

VIFK Vaasa 2-2 JJK Jyvaskyla in the Finland - Ykkönen on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VIFK Vaasa vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

Before kick-off our model rated an JJK Jyvaskyla win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split VIFK Vaasa 30%, draw 21%, JJK Jyvaskyla 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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