Hwaseong 2-2 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -26%
1.27/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.46
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
30.03.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 3-1 HT 1-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
08.07.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
25.03.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
22.10.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
10.04.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-2 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.09.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Daejeon Korail shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 1.17 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Daejeon Korail?

Hwaseong 2-2 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 39%, draw 24%, Daejeon Korail 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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