Daejeon Korail 3-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
37%
Draw
30%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.03/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.86
-4% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
08.07.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
25.03.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
22.10.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
10.04.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-2 HT 1-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.09.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.05.2021 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail got the better of Hwaseong 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 37% / 33%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Korail found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Korail and 0.83 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Hwaseong?

Daejeon Korail 3-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 29%, draw 37%, Hwaseong 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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