Ermenistan (K) 1-3 Bulgaristan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bulgaristan (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Bulgaristan (K) Bulgaristan (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) KAVŞE
POST-MATCH Ermenistan (K) vs Bulgaristan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulgaristan (K) saw off Ermenistan (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bulgaristan (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Ermenistan (K) vs Bulgaristan (K)?

Ermenistan (K) 1-3 Bulgaristan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan (K) vs Bulgaristan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bulgaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan (K) 22%, draw 23%, Bulgaristan (K) 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulgaristan (K)), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bulgaristan (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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