Faroe Adaları (K) 2-1 Karadağ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
42%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+13.0pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.7pp
62%
Away Win
84%
-22.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Faroe Adaları (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
-100% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -63%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Faroe Adaları (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Karadağ (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2024 Karadağ (K) Karadağ (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Faroe Adaları (K) Faroe Adaları (K) KAVŞE
01.12.2023 Karadağ (K) Karadağ (K) 9-0 HT 3-0 Faroe Adaları (K) Faroe Adaları (K) AVKUL
22.09.2023 Faroe Adaları (K) Faroe Adaları (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Karadağ (K) Karadağ (K) AVKUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Faroe Adaları (K)
2-1
AWAY Karadağ (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Faroe Adaları (K) vs Karadağ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Faroe Adaları (K) squeezed past Karadağ (K) 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Karadağ (K) carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Faroe Adaları (K) had 48% of the ball to Karadağ (K)'s 52%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karadağ (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Faroe Adaları (K) and 5.00 for Karadağ (K).

What was the final score of Faroe Adaları (K) vs Karadağ (K)?

Faroe Adaları (K) 2-1 Karadağ (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Faroe Adaları (K) vs Karadağ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karadağ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Faroe Adaları (K) 18%, draw 20%, Karadağ (K) 62%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Karadağ (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karadağ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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