Academia Puerto Cabello 2-4 Metropolitan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitan EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Metropolitan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
332 Passes 190
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2021 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitan CSA
19.03.2021 Metropolitan 2-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-4
AWAY Metropolitan
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitan beat Academia Puerto Cabello 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 57% of the ball to Metropolitan's 43%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Metropolitan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.50 for Metropolitan.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitan?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-4 Metropolitan in the VENK on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 44%, draw 26%, Metropolitan 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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