Tuggeranong United 1-3 Queanbeyan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
34%
4.08
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
34%
Draw
21%
+13.2pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.0pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Queanbeyan City EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Queanbeyan City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11.06.2025 Queanbeyan City 0-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
17.05.2025 Queanbeyan City 1-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queanbeyan City beat Tuggeranong United 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Queanbeyan City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tuggeranong United and 0.50 for Queanbeyan City.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City?

Tuggeranong United 1-3 Queanbeyan City in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuggeranong United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 38%, draw 34%, Queanbeyan City 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tuggeranong United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tuggeranong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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