Cheonan City 2-3 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 32%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
0.92/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-35% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 11.0
0.4 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
406 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-1 HT 1-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
2-3
AWAY Hwaseong
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
436 Passes 273
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong nicked a narrow win over Cheonan City 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cheonan City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheonan City had 61% of the ball to Hwaseong's 39%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Hwaseong?

Cheonan City 2-3 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheonan City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 41%, draw 31%, Hwaseong 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cheonan City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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