Hwaseong 2-1 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 35% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 33%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.86
+45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
2-1
AWAY Cheonan City
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
236 Passes 406
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong edged past Cheonan City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hwaseong had 41% of the ball to Cheonan City's 59%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Cheonan City?

Hwaseong 2-1 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 45%, draw 25%, Cheonan City 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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