Seongnam 1-2 Seoul E-Land — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Seoul E-Land EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
0.97/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.83
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
23.3 Crosses 16.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seoul E-Land
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
373 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 1-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
14.07.2024 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 3-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
10.04.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-2 HT 0-1 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
11.11.2023 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 0-2 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
11.06.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 1-1 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
30.04.2023 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 1-2 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
1-2
AWAY Seoul E-Land
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
244 Passes 418
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Seoul E-Land
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seoul E-Land squeezed past Seongnam 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seoul E-Land as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Seongnam had 40% of the ball to Seoul E-Land's 60%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seoul E-Land led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Seongnam and 1.50 for Seoul E-Land.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Seoul E-Land?

Seongnam 1-2 Seoul E-Land in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Seoul E-Land?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seoul E-Land win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 28%, draw 29%, Seoul E-Land 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seoul E-Land) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seoul E-Land) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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