Busan I Park 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.93
-46% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.9 Crosses 19.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 Passes 443
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
16.06.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
11.05.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
28.05.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
09.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-0
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 7
174 Passes 447
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park saw off Asan Mugunghwa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Busan I Park found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Busan I Park had 35% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 65%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Busan I Park 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 37%, draw 33%, Asan Mugunghwa 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
4 May 2025
08:00 Seongnam vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
08:00 Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonnam Dragons Analysis →
10:30 Ansan Greeners vs Gyeongnam FC Analysis →
10:30 Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen Analysis →
10:30 Cheongju FC vs Suwon Bluewings Analysis →
13:00 Hwaseong vs Cheonan City Analysis →