Ansan Greeners 1-0 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.17/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.40
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
13.7 Crosses 23.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
391 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
22.05.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
01.03.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
28.10.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
09.07.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
06.05.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-0
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
208 Passes 427
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners squeezed past Gyeongnam FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongnam FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 40% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 60%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ansan Greeners and 2.17 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Gyeongnam FC?

Ansan Greeners 1-0 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 30%, draw 28%, Gyeongnam FC 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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