Incheon United 3-0 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 May 2025

Incheon United
3-0 HT 1-0
Gimpo Citizen
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Gimpo Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 23%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +13%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.07
+16% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
31.0 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Incheon United 3-0 Gimpo Citizen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
3-0
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
401 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United cruised past Gimpo Citizen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Incheon United had 61% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 39%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen?

Incheon United 3-0 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 46%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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