Seoul E-Land 3-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seoul E-Land EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 30%
-25% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.29/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seoul E-Land
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seongnam
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 Passes 288
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-2 HT 0-1 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
11.11.2023 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 0-2 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
11.06.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 1-1 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
30.04.2023 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 1-2 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
07.10.2018 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 0-0 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
03.09.2018 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 1-2 HT 0-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seoul E-Land
3-1
AWAY Seongnam
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seoul E-Land vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seoul E-Land got the better of Seongnam 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Seoul E-Land as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Seoul E-Land had 49% of the ball to Seongnam's 51%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seongnam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Seoul E-Land and 1.67 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Seoul E-Land vs Seongnam?

Seoul E-Land 3-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seoul E-Land vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seoul E-Land win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Seoul E-Land 45%, draw 28%, Seongnam 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seoul E-Land), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seoul E-Land) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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