Bucheon 1995 1-0 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.20/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.73
+4% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.5 Crosses 18.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.66 xG 0.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
420 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
17.09.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
29.05.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
01.04.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
24.09.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
26.07.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
1-0
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 nicked a narrow win over Gimpo Citizen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Bucheon 1995 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 39% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 61%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 0.50 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Gimpo Citizen?

Bucheon 1995 1-0 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 39%, draw 30%, Gimpo Citizen 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucheon 1995), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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