Pinellas County 3-1 Weston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
79%
-19.9pp
23%
Draw
12%
+10.2pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pinellas County EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
6.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.97
+126% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pinellas County
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Weston
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.06.2025 Weston Weston 1-6 HT 0-4 Pinellas County USL2
26.05.2024 Weston Weston 1-0 HT 0-0 Pinellas County USL2
POST-MATCH Pinellas County vs Weston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pinellas County beat Weston 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pinellas County as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Pinellas County and 1.00 for Weston.

What was the final score of Pinellas County vs Weston?

Pinellas County 3-1 Weston in the USA - USL League 2 on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pinellas County vs Weston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pinellas County win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pinellas County 60%, draw 23%, Weston 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pinellas County), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pinellas County) ✓ BTTS Yes
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