Western Mass Pioneers 2-2 Vermont Green — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.95
Over 2.5
62%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vermont Green EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.90/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vermont Green
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
18.06.2025 Vermont Green Vermont Green 2-0 HT 1-0 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
08.07.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
18.06.2023 Vermont Green Vermont Green 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
2-2
AWAY Vermont Green
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Mass Pioneers and Vermont Green shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Western Mass Pioneers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Western Mass Pioneers had 46% of the ball to Vermont Green's 54%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Western Mass Pioneers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Western Mass Pioneers and 0.67 for Vermont Green.

What was the final score of Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green?

Western Mass Pioneers 2-2 Vermont Green in the USA - USL League 2 on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Mass Pioneers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Western Mass Pioneers 43%, draw 24%, Vermont Green 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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