Vermont Green 2-0 Western Mass Pioneers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vermont Green EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 39%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.59/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
-66% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vermont Green
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.07.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 1-0 HT 0-0 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
18.06.2023 Vermont Green Vermont Green 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
POST-MATCH Vermont Green vs Western Mass Pioneers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vermont Green saw off Western Mass Pioneers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vermont Green as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Western Mass Pioneers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Vermont Green and 1.00 for Western Mass Pioneers.

What was the final score of Vermont Green vs Western Mass Pioneers?

Vermont Green 2-0 Western Mass Pioneers in the USA - USL League 2 on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vermont Green vs Western Mass Pioneers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vermont Green win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 44%, draw 21%, Western Mass Pioneers 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vermont Green) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vermont Green) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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