Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queensland Lions v Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Team-Based Signals
Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Queensland Lions
AVNPL
4-4
HT 3-1
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
AVNPL
Queensland Lions squeezed past Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.83 for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane.
What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?
Queensland Lions 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 69%, draw 14%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.