Queensland Lions 0-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.46
Over 2.5
61%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
25%
+13.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
75%
-13.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.4pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.72/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.31
-10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.90 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
491 Passes 302
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2025 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 4-3 HT 1-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
26.04.2025 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
20.08.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
14.05.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 4-4 HT 3-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
10.07.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-2 HT 3-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
10.04.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-4 HT 0-3 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane edged past Queensland Lions 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Queensland Lions at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Queensland Lions and 2.00 for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Queensland Lions 0-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 53%, draw 21%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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