St George Willawong 1-1 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.65
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
65%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
65%
Away Win
62%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 66%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.09
-20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.3
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George Willawong
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Peninsula Power
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
26.07.2025 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 5-0 HT 1-0 St George Willawong St George Willawong AVSQ
POST-MATCH St George Willawong vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George Willawong and Peninsula Power shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Peninsula Power carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of St George Willawong vs Peninsula Power?

St George Willawong 1-1 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George Willawong vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split St George Willawong 17%, draw 18%, Peninsula Power 65%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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