Gold Coast Knights 2-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-5.5pp
15%
Draw
11%
+3.9pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.30/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.80
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
517 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 9.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
14.07.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 4-2 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
14.04.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
09.07.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
25.03.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
09.07.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-1 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights edged past Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.00 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Gold Coast Knights 2-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 76%, draw 15%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
23 Aug 2025
11:15 Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior Analysis →
11:15 St George Willawong vs Peninsula Power Analysis →
11:15 Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Analysis →
11:15 Brisbane Roar II vs WDSC Wolves Analysis →
11:15 Brisbane City vs Brisbane Olympic FC Analysis →