Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-0 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
62%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
62%
Away Win
63%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 69%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.16/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.92
-10% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
220 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.9 Crosses 23.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.57 xG 1.77
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
267 Passes 451
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 4-2 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
14.04.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
09.07.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
25.03.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
09.07.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-1 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
10.04.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Coast Wanderers beat Gold Coast Knights 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Gold Coast Knights carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 2.50 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-0 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 18%, draw 20%, Gold Coast Knights 62%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
26 Apr 2025
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