Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0-1 HT 0-1
Gold Coast Knights
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
57%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
9%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
13%
+11.0pp
57%
Away Win
78%
-20.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers v Gold Coast Knights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 84%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.94/3.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
-50% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.5 Crosses 20.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.42 xG 1.41
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 424
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.07.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
25.03.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
09.07.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-1 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
10.04.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
25.09.2021 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
13.06.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 4-2 HT 3-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights nicked a narrow win over Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 2.33 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 19%, draw 24%, Gold Coast Knights 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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