Gold Coast Knights 4-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
75%
-17.2pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+10.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 12%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.03/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.67
-23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 11.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 1.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
424 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
09.07.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
25.03.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
09.07.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-1 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
10.04.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
25.09.2021 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights got the better of Sunshine Coast Wanderers 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 0.67 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Gold Coast Knights 4-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 58%, draw 22%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
14 Jul 2024
09:00 Peninsula Power vs Brisbane Roar II Analysis →